I ran across this post as I was working on my Much Ado About Marketing blog (a daily summary of interesting blog bits concerning marketing, branding, corporate leadership and other things of interest — at least to me).
This post, by Edelman’s CEO, Richard Edelman, discusses how different “experts” on the teen market view the potential, attitudes and future of today’s youth.
Surprise, surprise, surprise. Each expert has a different opinion. And, as a father of four, I can tell you that they’re all right.
Maybe the problem is not who’s right or wrong but rather the idea of lumping an entire generation into a category and making sweeping generalizations about them is not all that accurate a method in the first place.
Well, maybe that isn’t entirely fair.
I could certainly make the case that generational labels and profiles have been useful marketing conventions for the past few generations. But I see that more as a result of our own history, cultural development and available technology than as some sort of scientifically-provable premise on which to rest an entire profession like marketing.
Here’s why:
● Over the past two to three hundred years, America has been populated by ethnic groups that have arrived in “waves” to our shores. The motivating factors behind these mass immigrations have varied from generation to generation – but inside each generation, the motivation to come to America was fairly consistent. In the 17th century, Europeans fled religious persecution. In the 18th century, war in Europe drove people to our shores. The 19th and 20th centuries saw people come to this country in search of new opportunities or to avoid famine or political persecution.
● At the same time, political and social culture was continuing to evolve but, for the most part, generalizations about race, ethnicity and culture were the accepted norm. Ethnic stereotypes were a kind of social short-hand and mixing of cultures through inter-marriage was considered improbable (at best) and problematic (at worst). It was easy to say a certain ethnic group would identify with a certain product because those ties were strong – in many cases stronger than that group’s American identity, but that would change over time.
● While ethnic ties to the “old country” started to weaken in succeeding generations and an American identity was forming based on our own short history, information and communications technology continued to develop. Over the last thirty years we’ve seen technology break through the conventional bonds of community (ethnic, age, geography) and draw divergent groups together in new and exciting ways.
What’s the result of all this?
The result is a much richer and diverse social landscape with people of various ages sharing similar views and insights rendering the old method of slapping a label on a certain age demographic more and more useless.
This “two-dimensional” demographic map of our country is becoming less and less accurate. And while marketers can sense that something isn’t quite right, no one seems to be finding a solution to this problem.
At some point, someone will.
I suppose a new market model will evolve that will still consider age as a factor – but from more of a scientific standpoint with regard to cognitive ability and from a social standpoint with regard to legal rights, responsibilities, etc. Attitudes and cultural influences should probably be evaluated and measured without respect to age (first) and then shaded appropriately based on the role age plays in physical maturity and social responsibilities.
What we will probably find is entirely new demographic clusters that span a number of years that are built around common interests and needs. Each cluster will probably be arranged in a hierarchy that has some dependency on age but not solely reliant on it.
Who can build such a model? Not me. I’m just one guy. But when it comes to one guy with the resources, maybe Richard Edelman has an idea? He certainly has the rolodex file that can do the trick.
Later.
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